NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU MILW
Points 82.1 76.6
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 22.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.5
Shooting YSU MILW
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 68.4 64.4
Field Goal % 41.6% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 22.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.5%
Ball Control YSU MILW
Rebounds 42.2 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 12.9
Turnovers 8.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 6.7 3.9
Steals 5.4 4.3
Fouls 16.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU MILW
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 81.2 77.3
% of Possessions with YSU MILW
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.3%
Turnover 11.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU MILW
Shot Blocked 6.2% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 31.8%