NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU ULL
Points 74.3 73.1
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 20.5
Points From Free Throws 16.7 13.3
Shooting YSU ULL
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 63.6
Field Goal % 42.2% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 25.9% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 18.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.6%
Ball Control YSU ULL
Rebounds 41.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.8
Turnovers 11.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 14.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU ULL
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 74.2
% of Possessions with YSU ULL
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.6%
Turnover 15.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU ULL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 27.6%