NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU WRST
Points 85.5 83.1
Total Points   168.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 20.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.9
Shooting YSU WRST
Field Goals Made 30.8 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 66.4 62.1
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 75.6%
Ball Control YSU WRST
Rebounds 37.8 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.7
Turnovers 9.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.2
Steals 6.1 5.2
Fouls 16.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU WRST
Total Possessions 75.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.3 74.2
% of Possessions with YSU WRST
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 19.8%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.7%
Turnover 12.6% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU WRST
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 25.2%