NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON DREX
Points 65.1 77.5
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 22.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.1
Shooting ELON DREX
Field Goals Made 23.1 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.5
Field Goal % 40.6% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 17.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 71.0%
Ball Control ELON DREX
Rebounds 29.5 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.3
Turnovers 8.7 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.0
Steals 4.7 4.6
Fouls 13.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON DREX
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 70.5
% of Possessions with ELON DREX
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.0%
Turnover 13.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON DREX
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 36.9%