NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON JMU
Points 64.4 85.4
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 28.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.5
Shooting ELON JMU
Field Goals Made 21.2 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 61.5
Field Goal % 40.0% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 19.3
Free Throw % 68.8% 69.7%
Ball Control ELON JMU
Rebounds 30.7 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.8
Turnovers 13.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.3
Steals 5.1 8.0
Fouls 13.8 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON JMU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 73.8
% of Possessions with ELON JMU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 30.0%
Player Fouled 22.7% 19.5%
Turnover 18.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON JMU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 35.1%