NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON DEL
Points 67.3 75.9
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 22.2
Points From Free Throws 11.5 11.7
Shooting ELON DEL
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 11.5 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 16.6
Free Throw % 68.8% 70.4%
Ball Control ELON DEL
Rebounds 31.7 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.1
Turnovers 9.6 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.9
Steals 5.9 4.9
Fouls 13.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON DEL
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 67.6
% of Possessions with ELON DEL
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.5%
Turnover 14.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON DEL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.7%