NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB MINN
Points 67.2 78.4
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 20.8
Points From Free Throws 10.7 15.5
Shooting WIGB MINN
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 54.2
Field Goal % 42.7% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 62.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 10.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 22.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 67.9%
Ball Control WIGB MINN
Rebounds 29.3 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.8
Turnovers 10.7 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.9
Steals 4.2 5.8
Fouls 16.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB MINN
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 68.3
% of Possessions with WIGB MINN
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.4% 24.0%
Turnover 15.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB MINN
Shot Blocked 11.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 28.6%