NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB UCF
Points 60.3 75.6
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 20.9 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 17.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.7
Shooting WIGB UCF
Field Goals Made 18.9 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 55.7
Field Goal % 36.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 10.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 25.4 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 25.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 68.6%
Ball Control WIGB UCF
Rebounds 29.9 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 11.5
Turnovers 13.4 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.6 7.3
Steals 3.6 7.7
Fouls 17.3 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: UCF

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB UCF
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 71.8
% of Possessions with WIGB UCF
2 Point Attempt 32.4% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 23.2%
Player Fouled 23.5% 25.3%
Turnover 19.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB UCF
Shot Blocked 13.2% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 33.3%