NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB UNM
Points 79.4 82.5
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 23.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 17.8
Shooting WIGB UNM
Field Goals Made 29.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 60.5
Field Goal % 45.6% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 12.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 24.8
Free Throw % 76.2% 72.1%
Ball Control WIGB UNM
Rebounds 34.5 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.4
Turnovers 12.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 6.5 6.7
Fouls 18.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB UNM
Total Possessions 77.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 76.2
% of Possessions with WIGB UNM
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 25.0%
Player Fouled 17.4% 23.4%
Turnover 16.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB UNM
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 31.6%