NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB EIU
Points 73.3 66.4
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 14.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 12.7
Shooting WIGB EIU
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 58.1
Field Goal % 49.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 13.6 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.3
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.7%
Ball Control WIGB EIU
Rebounds 34.1 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.9
Turnovers 11.7 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.2
Steals 3.5 6.4
Fouls 13.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB EIU
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 68.6
% of Possessions with WIGB EIU
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 54.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 21.3%
Player Fouled 24.5% 20.4%
Turnover 17.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB EIU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 24.6%