NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON HP
Points 70.2 84.1
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 26.5
Points From Free Throws 15.9 17.8
Shooting ELON HP
Field Goals Made 23.7 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 59.9
Field Goal % 42.4% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 22.8
Free Throw % 68.8% 77.9%
Ball Control ELON HP
Rebounds 29.1 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.9
Turnovers 9.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.5
Steals 4.5 4.6
Fouls 16.2 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON HP
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 74.6
% of Possessions with ELON HP
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 30.1%
Player Fouled 23.5% 23.1%
Turnover 13.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON HP
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 40.7%