NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON HOF
Points 63.5 77.9
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 23.2 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 32.9
Points From Free Throws 11.6 9.1
Shooting ELON HOF
Field Goals Made 21.2 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 57.8
Field Goal % 38.9% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 11.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.0 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.6 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 12.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.2%
Ball Control ELON HOF
Rebounds 32.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 7.7
Turnovers 11.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.7
Steals 5.2 6.0
Fouls 12.4 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON HOF
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 65.7
% of Possessions with ELON HOF
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 37.8%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.4%
Turnover 17.4% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON HOF
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 24.9%