NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB L-IL
Points 62.6 75.1
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 26.2 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 20.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.8
Shooting WIGB L-IL
Field Goals Made 20.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.6
Field Goal % 38.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 67.6%
Ball Control WIGB L-IL
Rebounds 30.9 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.3
Turnovers 11.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 7.0
Steals 4.1 6.5
Fouls 17.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB L-IL
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 67.9
% of Possessions with WIGB L-IL
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.8% 24.8%
Turnover 17.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB L-IL
Shot Blocked 13.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 25.7%