NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON UNCW
Points 68.3 81.3
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 26.1
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.5
Shooting ELON UNCW
Field Goals Made 23.5 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 60.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 77.5%
Ball Control ELON UNCW
Rebounds 30.7 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.9
Turnovers 11.1 7.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.5
Steals 3.6 5.6
Fouls 14.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON UNCW
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 71.8
% of Possessions with ELON UNCW
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 32.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 21.3%
Turnover 16.5% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON UNCW
Shot Blocked 4.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 35.7%