NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON UNCG
Points 66.7 80.2
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 24.3 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 37.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 10.3
Shooting ELON UNCG
Field Goals Made 21.3 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 60.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.0 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 41.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 14.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.8%
Ball Control ELON UNCG
Rebounds 31.0 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.8
Turnovers 11.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.9
Steals 5.3 6.5
Fouls 12.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Grnsboro

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON UNCG
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 69.6
% of Possessions with ELON UNCG
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 37.3%
Player Fouled 23.6% 19.2%
Turnover 16.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON UNCG
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 35.2%