NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB DETU
Points 76.6 68.0
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 15.2
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.2
Shooting WIGB DETU
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 54.2
Field Goal % 49.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 62.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 26.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.1%
Ball Control WIGB DETU
Rebounds 33.9 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.6
Turnovers 11.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 3.7 6.3
Fouls 16.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB DETU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 66.0
% of Possessions with WIGB DETU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.5%
Turnover 16.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB DETU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 23.2%