NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON CWM
Points 71.9 71.2
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 29.0
Points From Free Throws 14.2 11.5
Shooting ELON CWM
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 58.4
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 67.7%
Ball Control ELON CWM
Rebounds 33.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.4
Turnovers 9.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 5.3 4.5
Fouls 13.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON CWM
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.2
% of Possessions with ELON CWM
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 37.6%
Player Fouled 23.0% 20.1%
Turnover 14.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON CWM
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 31.4%