NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT SCU
Points 67.4 84.3
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 34.0
Points From Free Throws 13.6 9.8
Shooting PORT SCU
Field Goals Made 22.9 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 64.3
Field Goal % 39.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 13.6 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 14.1
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.6%
Ball Control PORT SCU
Rebounds 31.2 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 11.2
Turnovers 9.3 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.8
Steals 3.8 4.3
Fouls 13.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT SCU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.5
% of Possessions with PORT SCU
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 35.8%
Player Fouled 23.9% 19.1%
Turnover 13.1% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT SCU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 31.8%