NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT GONZ
Points 65.3 92.3
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 53.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 28.5
Points From Free Throws 10.2 10.3
Shooting PORT GONZ
Field Goals Made 22.9 36.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 64.6
Field Goal % 38.3% 56.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 64.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 10.2 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 13.8
Free Throw % 70.9% 74.4%
Ball Control PORT GONZ
Rebounds 29.0 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.6
Turnovers 10.1 6.4
Blocked Shots 1.4 4.1
Steals 2.9 6.0
Fouls 12.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT GONZ
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 73.2
% of Possessions with PORT GONZ
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 17.8%
Turnover 14.4% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT GONZ
Shot Blocked 6.4% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 31.6%