NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT IW
Points 80.0 72.7
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 30.3
Points From Free Throws 15.2 10.4
Shooting PORT IW
Field Goals Made 27.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 62.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.2 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 14.5
Free Throw % 70.9% 71.7%
Ball Control PORT IW
Rebounds 37.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.8
Turnovers 9.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 4.6 5.0
Fouls 12.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT IW
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 71.7
% of Possessions with PORT IW
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 34.8%
Player Fouled 24.1% 17.9%
Turnover 13.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT IW
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 25.4%