NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT BYU
Points 65.7 91.0
Total Points   156.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 47.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 9.4
Shooting PORT BYU
Field Goals Made 23.1 32.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 66.6
Field Goal % 40.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 27.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 63.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 15.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 11.6 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 13.0
Free Throw % 70.9% 72.5%
Ball Control PORT BYU
Rebounds 31.1 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 10.6
Turnovers 10.4 6.6
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.2
Steals 3.0 5.3
Fouls 12.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT BYU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 74.9
% of Possessions with PORT BYU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 32.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 48.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 17.0%
Turnover 14.7% 9.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT BYU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 29.7%