NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT SF
Points 63.5 82.4
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 24.6 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 35.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 8.0
Shooting PORT SF
Field Goals Made 20.8 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 63.3
Field Goal % 40.1% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 8.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 10.8
Free Throw % 70.9% 74.2%
Ball Control PORT SF
Rebounds 30.6 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 8.9
Turnovers 12.5 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 3.8
Steals 3.2 7.3
Fouls 11.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT SF
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 70.4
% of Possessions with PORT SF
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 39.0%
Player Fouled 25.2% 17.0%
Turnover 18.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT SF
Shot Blocked 6.0% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 26.6%