NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT USD
Points 72.3 78.6
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 30.6
Points From Free Throws 15.2 10.4
Shooting PORT USD
Field Goals Made 23.9 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 62.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 14.5
Free Throw % 70.9% 72.1%
Ball Control PORT USD
Rebounds 35.4 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.8
Steals 4.4 6.7
Fouls 12.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT USD
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 71.9
% of Possessions with PORT USD
2 Point Attempt 34.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 31.8%
Player Fouled 24.7% 17.6%
Turnover 16.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT USD
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 25.0%