NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT PEPP
Points 71.3 78.5
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 29.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 9.8
Shooting PORT PEPP
Field Goals Made 25.4 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 61.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 12.3 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 14.0
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.8%
Ball Control PORT PEPP
Rebounds 32.5 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 7.8
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.7
Steals 3.4 4.7
Fouls 13.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT PEPP
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 70.6
% of Possessions with PORT PEPP
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 30.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 19.9%
Turnover 15.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT PEPP
Shot Blocked 4.3% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 25.8%