NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH BRWN
Points 68.1 75.7
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 28.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.7
Shooting SH BRWN
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 58.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 65.0%
Ball Control SH BRWN
Rebounds 30.0 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 14.5
Turnovers 10.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.4
Steals 7.8 5.4
Fouls 16.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH BRWN
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 72.7
% of Possessions with SH BRWN
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 28.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.2%
Turnover 14.9% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH BRWN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 39.4%