NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH CCSU
Points 69.2 71.6
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 23.1
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.5
Shooting SH CCSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 56.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 20.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.4%
Ball Control SH CCSU
Rebounds 32.6 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.0
Turnovers 10.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.5
Steals 7.5 6.3
Fouls 14.6 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH CCSU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 69.0
% of Possessions with SH CCSU
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 17.4% 20.7%
Turnover 14.9% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH CCSU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 28.5%