NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN UCLA
Points 61.0 79.3
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 19.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 20.1
Shooting DEN UCLA
Field Goals Made 20.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 52.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 14.9 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 28.6
Free Throw % 70.2% 70.4%
Ball Control DEN UCLA
Rebounds 26.8 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 10.8
Turnovers 14.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.5
Steals 4.2 7.4
Fouls 20.3 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN UCLA
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 71.1
% of Possessions with DEN UCLA
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 24.0%
Player Fouled 26.2% 28.6%
Turnover 20.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 34.1%