NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH RMU
Points 74.0 74.5
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 30.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.6
Shooting SH RMU
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 61.5
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 18.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.8%
Ball Control SH RMU
Rebounds 30.9 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 15.0
Turnovers 9.9 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.2
Steals 7.5 4.5
Fouls 13.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH RMU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 73.7
% of Possessions with SH RMU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 32.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.9%
Turnover 13.7% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH RMU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 39.1%