NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH LAS
Points 69.9 77.6
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 29.9
Points From Free Throws 13.2 12.1
Shooting SH LAS
Field Goals Made 25.1 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 62.5
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 16.8
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.6%
Ball Control SH LAS
Rebounds 33.7 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.3
Turnovers 9.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.7
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 14.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH LAS
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 72.4
% of Possessions with SH LAS
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.9%
Turnover 13.2% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH LAS
Shot Blocked 6.1% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 30.5%