NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN UND
Points 76.3 80.1
Total Points   156.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 23.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.3
Shooting DEN UND
Field Goals Made 27.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 61.7
Field Goal % 45.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 21.3
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.7%
Ball Control DEN UND
Rebounds 34.0 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.0
Turnovers 8.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.6
Steals 5.5 4.9
Fouls 15.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN UND
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 74.6
% of Possessions with DEN UND
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.1%
Turnover 12.2% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN UND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 30.0%