NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH
Points 75.2 59.9
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 24.5
Points From Free Throws 11.9 7.7
Shooting SH
Field Goals Made 27.7 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 54.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.9 7.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 12.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 60.7%
Ball Control SH
Rebounds 33.9 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.7
Turnovers 10.1 15.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.6
Steals 8.6 5.3
Fouls 13.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 62.2
% of Possessions with SH
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 31.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.0%
Turnover 14.6% 22.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH
Shot Blocked 6.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 25.2%