NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN SDST
Points 74.9 84.5
Total Points   159.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.3 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.0 14.3
Shooting DEN SDST
Field Goals Made 25.9 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 59.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 19.5
Free Throw % 70.7% 73.3%
Ball Control DEN SDST
Rebounds 32.0 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 7.3
Turnovers 9.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.4
Steals 6.1 4.5
Fouls 16.3 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN SDST
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.3
% of Possessions with DEN SDST
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 38.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.6%
Turnover 13.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN SDST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 23.6%