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Denver at New Mexico
Thu Dec 9, 2021
9:00pm ET
Albuquerque, NM
Denver at New Mexico: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico by 13.5, Total Points: 144.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | UNM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-2 | 23-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 10-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-2 | 13-7-0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UCSD | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Nicholls | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | S Alabama | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Colorado Christian | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Idaho | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Colorado College | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/06 | Away | Colorado St | +20.5 | L by 10 | +10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | BYU | +26.5 | L by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Oral Roberts | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | N Colorado | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Dakota St | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Dakota St | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | North Dakota | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | South Dakota | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Neb Omaha | -5.5 | L by 19 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kansas City | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St. Thomas | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | North Dakota | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | St. Thomas | +8.5 | L by 25 | -16.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Kansas City | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
New Mexico Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TX Southern | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | St Marys | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX-Arlington | -14.5 | W by 2 | -12.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Toledo | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Rice | -7.5 | W by 34 | +26.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Tech | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Mex State | -17.5 | W by 44 | +26.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UCSB | -13.5 | W by 23 | +9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 1 | -13.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | UC Irvine | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Eastern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Colorado St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wyoming | -16.5 | W by 17 | +0.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | UNLV | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Diego St | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Utah St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Air Force | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | San Jose St | -8.0 | W by 20 | +12.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Nevada | -8.5 | W by 34 | +25.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Boise St | -10.5 | L by 8 | -18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Wyoming | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | UNLV | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Colorado St | -8.0 | W by 2 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Air Force | -18.5 | L by 1 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boise St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Fresno St | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Utah St | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Air Force | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boise St | (Pick) | W by 10 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Colorado St | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | San Diego St | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Clemson | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| UNM -14.0 | Open | -12.0 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1360 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico won the game 1238 times (91.0%).
- The team like Denver won the game 122 times (9.0%).
- The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 672-666-22 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1640 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like New Mexico did better against the spread, going 857-756-27 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/09 09:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/09 05:07 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:40 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:16 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:14 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/09 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 01:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 01:35 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/09 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/09 01:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 12:52 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:49 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 11:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 10:58 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:49 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:28 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:01 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 09:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 09:34 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:24 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/09 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/09 09:07 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/09 08:22 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:04 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 12/09 03:31 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:14 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/08 11:49 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 12/08 09:14 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/08 08:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/08 07:40 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/08 05:56 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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