NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH MSM
Points 70.0 74.4
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 24.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.5
Shooting SH MSM
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.9
Field Goal % 43.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.9%
Ball Control SH MSM
Rebounds 29.2 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 11.5
Turnovers 10.7 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.1
Steals 9.9 5.8
Fouls 13.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH MSM
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 69.4
% of Possessions with SH MSM
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 25.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 18.6%
Turnover 14.8% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 13.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH MSM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 34.3%