NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN CSU
Points 66.3 86.4
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 21.6
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.8
Shooting DEN CSU
Field Goals Made 22.7 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.1
Field Goal % 39.0% 55.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 65.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.1
Free Throw % 70.7% 74.7%
Ball Control DEN CSU
Rebounds 30.0 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.2
Turnovers 9.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.0
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 16.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN CSU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.6
% of Possessions with DEN CSU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.8%
Turnover 13.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN CSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.3%