NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH SFPA
Points 75.0 66.0
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 22.7
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.2
Shooting SH SFPA
Field Goals Made 26.5 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.8
Field Goal % 48.2% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 60.1%
Ball Control SH SFPA
Rebounds 32.3 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 13.4
Turnovers 10.2 13.6
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.9
Steals 7.6 5.1
Fouls 14.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH SFPA
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.4
% of Possessions with SH SFPA
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 24.5%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.4%
Turnover 14.7% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH SFPA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 11.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 35.5%