NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN KC
Points 72.6 77.2
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 25.6
Points From Free Throws 19.1 14.8
Shooting DEN KC
Field Goals Made 23.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 61.0
Field Goal % 43.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 19.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 20.5
Free Throw % 70.7% 72.1%
Ball Control DEN KC
Rebounds 33.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 11.2
Turnovers 10.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.7
Steals 5.5 4.6
Fouls 16.1 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN KC
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 73.7
% of Possessions with DEN KC
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 28.7%
Player Fouled 26.7% 22.2%
Turnover 14.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN KC
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 30.1%