NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH MW
Points 65.1 67.7
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 25.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.2
Shooting SH MW
Field Goals Made 23.4 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 53.5
Field Goal % 42.9% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 18.9
Free Throw % 70.0% 74.8%
Ball Control SH MW
Rebounds 35.3 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.2
Turnovers 14.4 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.7
Steals 8.0 8.5
Fouls 15.8 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH MW
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 64.7
% of Possessions with SH MW
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 19.6% 22.1%
Turnover 20.2% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH MW
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 21.8%