NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH UNH
Points 75.1 74.2
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 30.2
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.7
Shooting SH UNH
Field Goals Made 28.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 59.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 76.0%
Ball Control SH UNH
Rebounds 34.2 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.2
Turnovers 11.0 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.9 1.9
Steals 9.0 6.2
Fouls 15.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH UNH
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 70.3
% of Possessions with SH UNH
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 33.3%
Player Fouled 17.2% 20.9%
Turnover 14.8% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH UNH
Shot Blocked 3.4% 9.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.4%