NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU CHAR
Points 64.3 68.0
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.5
Shooting ECU CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.0 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 50.7
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.3
Free Throw % 68.6% 75.2%
Ball Control ECU CHAR
Rebounds 33.3 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.8
Turnovers 8.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.0
Steals 6.5 4.4
Fouls 14.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU CHAR
Total Possessions 64.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 62.5
% of Possessions with ECU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.4%
Turnover 12.7% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 26.0%