NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG HAMP
Points 71.7 74.3
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 12.1 19.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.7
Shooting MORG HAMP
Field Goals Made 27.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 59.7
Field Goal % 42.6% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.1% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 23.0
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.7%
Ball Control MORG HAMP
Rebounds 37.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.6
Turnovers 10.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.3
Steals 6.0 5.6
Fouls 16.4 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG HAMP
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 74.0
% of Possessions with MORG HAMP
2 Point Attempt 55.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 24.0%
Player Fouled 17.1% 22.2%
Turnover 14.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG HAMP
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 30.9%