NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL SLU
Points 84.7 70.7
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 25.7
Points From Free Throws 18.1 12.4
Shooting HALL SLU
Field Goals Made 29.4 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 58.5
Field Goal % 49.4% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.1 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 16.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.1%
Ball Control HALL SLU
Rebounds 38.2 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.2
Turnovers 9.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.4
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 14.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL SLU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 67.7
% of Possessions with HALL SLU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 30.1%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.8%
Turnover 12.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL SLU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 23.4%