NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL CREI
Points 70.7 68.1
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 24.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.3 27.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.6
Shooting HALL CREI
Field Goals Made 27.0 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 54.0
Field Goal % 43.9% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 12.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 20.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 77.4%
Ball Control HALL CREI
Rebounds 36.9 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.7
Turnovers 8.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.8
Steals 7.8 4.8
Fouls 16.4 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL CREI
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 65.6
% of Possessions with HALL CREI
2 Point Attempt 57.8% 33.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 34.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.9%
Turnover 12.1% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL CREI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 25.4%