NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP UNCA
Points 65.9 78.8
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.6 15.7
Shooting HAMP UNCA
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 60.0
Field Goal % 38.1% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 20.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.0%
Ball Control HAMP UNCA
Rebounds 36.1 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.9
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP UNCA
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 72.4
% of Possessions with HAMP UNCA
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 28.3%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.8%
Turnover 15.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP UNCA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.9%