NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL BUT
Points 76.6 72.6
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 45.6 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 27.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 11.0
Shooting HALL BUT
Field Goals Made 29.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 61.7
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.5 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 13.7
Free Throw % 80.8% 80.1%
Ball Control HALL BUT
Rebounds 39.5 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.2
Turnovers 10.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.8
Steals 8.0 6.1
Fouls 12.8 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL BUT
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 69.2
% of Possessions with HALL BUT
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 32.7%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.8%
Turnover 14.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL BUT
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 22.5%