NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL ISU
Points 64.3 72.4
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.7 11.3
Shooting HALL ISU
Field Goals Made 21.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 61.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 16.0
Free Throw % 80.6% 70.8%
Ball Control HALL ISU
Rebounds 36.0 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.8
Turnovers 16.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.2
Steals 6.0 10.5
Fouls 14.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL ISU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 70.4
% of Possessions with HALL ISU
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.4%
Turnover 23.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 15.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL ISU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 29.8%