NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP WAKE
Points 59.1 85.9
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.8
Shooting HAMP WAKE
Field Goals Made 20.9 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 60.4
Field Goal % 36.1% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 20.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 79.2%
Ball Control HAMP WAKE
Rebounds 30.4 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.3
Turnovers 11.9 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.6
Steals 4.3 6.7
Fouls 15.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP WAKE
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 72.4
% of Possessions with HAMP WAKE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.0%
Turnover 16.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP WAKE
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 29.1%