NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL MARQ
Points 58.7 78.0
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 29.6
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.0
Shooting HALL MARQ
Field Goals Made 21.2 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 55.0
Field Goal % 39.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 27.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.7
Free Throw % 66.5% 71.2%
Ball Control HALL MARQ
Rebounds 32.0 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.7
Turnovers 13.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.3
Steals 6.3 8.2
Fouls 15.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL MARQ
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 67.4
% of Possessions with HALL MARQ
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 34.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.0%
Turnover 20.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL MARQ
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 31.0%