NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL MARQ
Points 72.9 66.5
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 23.4
Points From Free Throws 14.6 15.3
Shooting HALL MARQ
Field Goals Made 26.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 54.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.2
Free Throw % 72.6% 66.0%
Ball Control HALL MARQ
Rebounds 40.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.2
Turnovers 11.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.9 3.2
Steals 8.9 7.6
Fouls 16.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL MARQ
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 68.5
% of Possessions with HALL MARQ
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 29.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.1%
Turnover 15.7% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL MARQ
Shot Blocked 5.9% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.1% 27.5%