NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP RAD
Points 66.2 75.1
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 23.7
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.2
Shooting HAMP RAD
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 63.3
Field Goal % 38.9% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 15.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.7%
Ball Control HAMP RAD
Rebounds 36.5 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.3
Turnovers 9.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.6
Steals 3.7 5.3
Fouls 11.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP RAD
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 72.8
% of Possessions with HAMP RAD
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 17.3%
Turnover 13.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP RAD
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 32.9%