NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL KU
Points 69.1 75.0
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 45.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 18.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 10.8
Shooting HALL KU
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 60.3
Field Goal % 40.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 15.1
Free Throw % 80.5% 71.4%
Ball Control HALL KU
Rebounds 35.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.6
Turnovers 11.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.6
Steals 6.3 7.5
Fouls 12.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL KU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.3
% of Possessions with HALL KU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 23.8%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.1%
Turnover 16.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL KU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.6%